Will Rhode Island have a Democratic Governor nominee by September 8, 2026? [ resolved 2026-09-10 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Dan McKee wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Rhode Island Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1)
Republican Party venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Dan McKee be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Rhode Island? | kalshi | 2026-09-10 | 0% |
| YES | Will Helena Foulkes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Rhode Island? | kalshi | 2026-09-10 | 100% |
| NO | Will Gregory Stevens be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Rhode Island? | kalshi | 2026-09-10 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Foulkes locks up the Rhode Island Democratic governor nod 99% · $72K 24h
- Kalshi prices Foulkes at 99%, the nomination is treated as a near-certainty.
- $72K traded in 24h, equal to 42% of all-time volume, a definitive late-stage settlement rush.
- Volume at this magnitude this close to resolution typically follows a decisive filing or rival withdrawal.
- Contract resolves on the Democratic primary outcome for Rhode Island governor.
- Foulkes RI Democratic nomination priced as a certainty 99% · $68K 24h
- Kalshi prices Foulkes at 99%, market treats the Democratic nomination as resolved.
- $67K traded in 24h, equal to 70% of all-time volume, signaling a decisive late rush.
- Surge likely follows a filing deadline, poll, or rival withdrawal collapsing any residual doubt.
- Contract resolves on the outcome of the Rhode Island Democratic gubernatorial primary.
- Foulkes RI governor nomination trades at 100% on heavy flow 100% · $20K 24h
- 100% price leaves zero market-implied probability of any other Democratic gubernatorial nominee in Rhode Island.
- Kalshi logs $20K in 24h, representing 70% of all-time volume, an unusually concentrated single-day surge.
- Volume at a ceiling price typically reflects late liquidity-taking or settlement positioning ahead of primary close.
- Resolves on the Rhode Island Democratic gubernatorial primary result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovrinomd-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovrinomd-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovrinomd-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZVCJ160PY0",
"slug": "kxgovrinomd-26",
"question": "Will Rhode Island have a Democratic Governor nominee by September 8, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-governor-race",
"rhode-island-politics",
"democratic-primary",
"2026-election",
"nominee-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7029,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 35,
"rcg_caps": [
"adversarial_ground_truth",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}