Will the South Carolina Republican Governor nominee be determined by the 2026 gubernatorial election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamela Evette | 2026-11-03 | 60.0% | $29K | $446K | A | KXGOVSCNOMR-…EVE | ||
| Alan Wilson | 2026-11-03 | 40.0% | $17K | $215K | A | KXGOVSCNOMR-…WIL | ||
| Josh Kimbrell | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $49 | A | KXGOVSCNOMR-…KIM | ||
| Nancy Mace | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $411 | A | KXGOVSCNOMR-…MAC | ||
| Ralph Norman | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $222 | A | KXGOVSCNOMR-…NOR | ||
| Rom Reddy | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $261 | A | KXGOVSCNOMR-…RED |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Josh Kimbrell wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Josh Kimbrell be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nancy Mace be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Ralph Norman be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will Rom Reddy be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Carolina? | kalshi | 2026-11-03 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (4 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovscnomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovscnomr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovscnomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S9QX4XH3Z3",
"slug": "kxgovscnomr-26",
"question": "Will the South Carolina Republican Governor nominee be determined by the 2026 gubernatorial election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"south-carolina-politics",
"2026-gubernatorial",
"republican-primary",
"nomination-market",
"us-elections"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 661783,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}