Government spending decrease, before March 2027 [ resolves 2027-03-31 (301D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 50 | 2027-03-31 | 4.3% | $0 | $136 | A | KXGOVTCUTS-2…ONB | ||
| ≥ 250 | 2027-03-31 | 5.4% | — | $4.9K | A | KXGOVTCUTS-26-250 | ||
| ≥ 500 | 2027-03-31 | 5.2% | — | $1.9K | A | KXGOVTCUTS-26-500 | ||
| ≥ 750 | 2027-03-31 | 3.6% | — | $869 | A | KXGOVTCUTS-26-750 | ||
| ≥ 1,000 | 2027-03-31 | 2.8% | — | $678 | A | KXGOVTCUTS-26-1000 | ||
| ≥ 2,000 | 2027-03-31 | 1.0% | — | $181 | A | KXGOVTCUTS-26-2000 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | fred.stlouisfed.org | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "fred.stlouisfed.org" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovtcuts-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovtcuts-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovtcuts-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BYVFPZ6WJ8",
"slug": "kxgovtcuts-26",
"question": "Government spending decrease, before March 2027",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"government-spending",
"trump-administration",
"fiscal-policy",
"quantitative-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8653,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "fred.stlouisfed.org",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}