CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Tennessee Democratic Party nominate a governor candidate by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-08-06 (31D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Jerri Green 2026-08-06 85.0%
$6.2K
C KXGOVTNNOMD-…GRE
Carnita Atwater 2026-08-06 17.0%
$0 $125
C KXGOVTNNOMD-…ATW
Adam Kurtz 2026-08-06 11.0%
$146
C KXGOVTNNOMD-…KUR
Tim Cyr 2026-08-06 1.0%
$4
C KXGOVTNNOMD-…CYR
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 4 markets · share this text
If Carnita Atwater wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Tennessee Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
sources (1)
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovtnnomd-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovtnnomd-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxgovtnnomd-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3VH0Z3ZLP6",
  "slug": "kxgovtnnomd-26",
  "question": "Will the Tennessee Democratic Party nominate a governor candidate by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "tennessee-governor",
    "democratic-nominee",
    "2027-election",
    "us-politics",
    "nomination-race"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6439,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 32,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "adversarial_ground_truth",
    "commitment_none"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "source_status": "no_source_stated",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Republican Party",
      "url": "https://gop.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →