Will Ron Johnson be the Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee by 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Tom Tiffany be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Tiffany be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 95.0% | $16 | $12K | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-TT | ||
| Will Rebecca Kleefisch be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 5.0% | — | $26 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-RK | ||
| Will Bryan Steil be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 4.3% | — | $17 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-BS | ||
| Will Josh Schoemann be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 3.9% | — | $20 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-JS | ||
| Will Tommy Thompson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 2.7% | — | $94 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-…THO | ||
| Will Patrick Testin be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $1 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-PT | ||
| Will Eric Hovde be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $4 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-EH | ||
| Will Josh Schoemann be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXGOVWINOMR-…SCH |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovwinomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovwinomr-26.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovwinomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9LV6WS60P7",
"slug": "kxgovwinomr-26",
"question": "Will Ron Johnson be the Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee by 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"wisconsin-politics",
"2026-election",
"republican-nominee",
"gubernatorial-race",
"primary-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11907,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}