Will the Wisconsin Republican Party nominate a governor candidate by the 2026 general election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (120D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Tiffany | 2026-11-03 | 98.0% | $8 | $12K | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-TT | ||
| Tommy Thompson | 2026-11-03 | 0.3% | — | $11 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-…THO | ||
| Rebecca Kleefisch | 2026-11-03 | 0.2% | — | $2 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-RK | ||
| Josh Schoemann | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $1 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-JS | ||
| Patrick Testin | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-PT | ||
| Eric Hovde | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-EH | ||
| Bryan Steil | 2026-11-03 | 0.1% | — | $0 | A | KXGOVWINOMR-26-BS | ||
| Josh Schoemann | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXGOVWINOMR-…SCH |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Josh Schoemann wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovwinomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovwinomr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovwinomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9LV6WS60P7",
"slug": "kxgovwinomr-26",
"question": "Will the Wisconsin Republican Party nominate a governor candidate by the 2026 general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"wisconsin-politics",
"2026-election",
"republican-nominee",
"gubernatorial-race",
"primary-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12298,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}