Will a Wyoming Republican governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election cycle? [ resolves 2026-08-31 (56D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Degenfelder | 2026-08-31 | 77.0% | $3.4K | $8.5K | A | KXGOVWYNOMR-…DEG | ||
| Eric Barlow | 2026-08-31 | 23.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXGOVWYNOMR-…BAR | ||
| Brent Bien | 2026-08-31 | 4.1% | $12 | $129 | A | KXGOVWYNOMR-…BIE | ||
| Chuck Gray | 2026-08-31 | 2.2% | — | $23 | A | KXGOVWYNOMR-…GRA | ||
| Harriet Hageman | 2026-08-31 | 1.0% | — | $25 | A | KXGOVWYNOMR-…HAG |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Brent Bien wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (1) · single authority
- Republican Party source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxgovwynomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxgovwynomr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxgovwynomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
"slug": "kxgovwynomr-26",
"question": "Will a Wyoming Republican governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election cycle?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"wyoming-politics",
"republican-nominee",
"gubernatorial-race",
"2026-election",
"primary-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 9903,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}