Will a new Governor of Guam be elected by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (91D) ]
kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Therese Terlaje · Who will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | 2026-11-03 | 74.0% | $24 | $5.6K | A | KXGUAMGOV-26-TTER | ||
| Tony Ada · Who will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | 2026-11-03 | 23.0% | $2 | $2.3K | A | KXGUAMGOV-26-TADA | ||
| Josh Tenorio · Who will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | 2026-11-03 | 2.0% | — | $193 | A | KXGUAMGOV-26-JTEN | ||
| Frank Blas Jr. · Who will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $120 | A | KXGUAMGOV-26-FBLA | ||
| Joe San Agustin · Who will win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | 2026-11-03 | 1.0% | — | $315 | A | KXGUAMGOV-26-JAGU |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | relevant county clerk or board of elections | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Tony Ada wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections" sources (7) · stated precedence rule
- relevant county clerk or board of elections venue-listed
- Attorney General of the United States venue-listed
- relevant city/municipal clerk venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer source of record venue-listed
- the Federal Election Commission venue-listed
- state board of elections or canvassing board venue-listed
- The Source Agencies are venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxguamgov-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxguamgov-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxguamgov-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-1CJ0HHLXV0",
"slug": "kxguamgov-26",
"question": "Will a new Governor of Guam be elected by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"guam-politics",
"gubernatorial-election",
"2027-election",
"us-territory-elections",
"political-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8557,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Attorney General of the United States",
"url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Election Commission",
"url": "https://www.fec.gov",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}