The NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price at 4 PM ET on Jul 24 [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $2.5 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $1.7K | C | KXH200WS-26J…500 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $3.2K | C | KXH200WS-26J…000 | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $4.4K | C | KXH200WS-26J…500 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2026-07-31 | 99.0% | $1 | $4.4K | C | KXH200WS-26J…000 | ||
| ≥ $4.5 | 2026-07-31 | 81.0% | $598 | $2.8K | C | KXH200WS-26J…500 | ||
| ≥ $5 | 2026-07-31 | 8.0% | $43 | $290 | C | KXH200WS-26J…000 | ||
| ≥ $5.5 | 2026-07-31 | 2.0% | $1 | $46 | C | KXH200WS-26J…500 | ||
| ≥ $6 | 2026-07-31 | 3.0% | — | $47 | C | KXH200WS-26J…000 | ||
| ≥ $6.5 | 2026-07-31 | 1.0% | $0 | $32 | C | KXH200WS-26J…500 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Ornn | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/).
If no data is published by the source agency (Ornn) for the specified date and time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Ornn" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- Ornn source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxh200ws-26jul24/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxh200ws-26jul24 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxh200ws-26jul24") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7Y663C0SM5",
"slug": "kxh200ws-26jul24",
"question": "The NVIDIA H200 compute per hour price at 4 PM ET on Jul 24",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"nvidia-h200",
"compute-pricing",
"hourly-resolution",
"spot-price",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17001,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Ornn",
"resolution_source_url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Ornn",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Ornn",
"url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}