Will the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's 1st congressional district be determined by January 1, 2027? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2027-01 ]
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Ed Case wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Hawaii first congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Ed Case be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district? | kalshi | 2026-08-09 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Traders lock in Ed Case as Hawaii-1 nominee at 100% 100% · $84K 24h
- Kalshi prices Ed Case as the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first district at 100%, fully resolved in traders' view.
- 24h volume of $84K is 68% of all-time handle, the largest single-session share in this contract's life.
- Volume surge at ceiling price points to a qualifying event, likely a primary result or withdrawal, driving final settlement.
- Contract resolves on Democratic primary outcome for Hawaii's first congressional district.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhi01d-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhi01d-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhi01d-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
"slug": "kxhi01d-26",
"question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's 1st congressional district be determined by January 1, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"hawaii-elections",
"democratic-primary",
"congressional-nominee",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14259,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 88,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}