Will the highest temperature in Chicago on June 2, 2026 exceed 85°F? [ resolves 2026-06-03 (0D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by strike

kalshi 6 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
≤ 72	2026-06-03	1.0%	$236	$282	B	`KXHIGHCHI-26…T72`
73	2026-06-03	1.0%	$141	$167	B	`KXHIGHCHI-26…2.5`
75	2026-06-03	99.0%	$23K	$25K	B	`KXHIGHCHI-26…4.5`
77	2026-06-03	1.0%	$279	$302	B	`KXHIGHCHI-26…6.5`
79	2026-06-03	1.0%	$127	$142	B	`KXHIGHCHI-26…8.5`
≥ 79	2026-06-03	1.0%	$38	$60	B	`KXHIGHCHI-26…T79`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	NWS Climatological Report Chicago Midway	link	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 6 markets · share this text

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 02, 2026, is less than 72° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "NWS Climatological Report Chicago Midway" ↗

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhighchi-26jun02/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhighchi-26jun02.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxhighchi-26jun02")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCMCSVSRC4",
  "slug": "kxhighchi-26jun02",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago on June 2, 2026 exceed 85°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "chicago-weather",
    "temperature-prediction",
    "june-2026",
    "daily-extremes",
    "climate-measurement"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 26163,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 70,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "NWS Climatological Report Chicago Midway",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →