Will the Consumer Price Index reach a specific peak level this year? [ resolves 2027-04-02 (270D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 3% | 2027-04-02 | 95.0% | — | $11K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.0 | ||
| ≥ 3.1% | 2027-04-02 | 98.0% | — | $3.4K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.1 | ||
| ≥ 3.2% | 2027-04-02 | 98.0% | — | $1.3K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.2 | ||
| ≥ 3.3% | 2027-04-02 | 94.0% | — | $1.7K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.3 | ||
| ≥ 3.4% | 2027-04-02 | 94.0% | — | $712 | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.4 | ||
| ≥ 3.5% | 2027-04-02 | 98.0% | — | $17K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.5 | ||
| ≥ 3.6% | 2027-04-02 | 93.0% | — | $6.1K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.6 | ||
| ≥ 3.7% | 2027-04-02 | 97.0% | — | $2.7K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.7 | ||
| ≥ 3.8% | 2027-04-02 | 93.0% | — | $2.1K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.8 | ||
| ≥ 3.9% | 2027-04-02 | 93.0% | — | $12K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…3.9 | ||
| ≥ 4% | 2027-04-02 | 92.0% | — | $17K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.0 | ||
| ≥ 4.1% | 2027-04-02 | 99.0% | — | $6.7K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.1 | ||
| ≥ 4.2% | 2027-04-02 | 86.0% | — | $2.9K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.2 | ||
| ≥ 4.3% | 2027-04-02 | 72.0% | — | $951 | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.3 | ||
| ≥ 4.4% | 2027-04-02 | 54.0% | $1 | $6.8K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.4 | ||
| ≥ 4.5% | 2027-04-02 | 23.0% | — | $3.3K | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.5 | ||
| ≥ 4.6% | 2027-04-02 | 25.0% | $126 | $322 | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.6 | ||
| ≥ 4.7% | 2027-04-02 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.7 | ||
| ≥ 4.8% | 2027-04-02 | 0.0% | — | — | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.8 | ||
| ≥ 4.9% | 2027-04-02 | 25.0% | — | $50 | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…4.9 | ||
| ≥ 5% | 2027-04-02 | 15.0% | — | $326 | A | KXHIGHINFLAT…5.0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 3.0% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (2) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 95% |
| YES | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 98% |
| YES | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 98% |
| PENDING | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 94% |
| PENDING | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 94% |
| YES | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 98% |
| PENDING | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 93% |
| YES | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 97% |
| PENDING | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 93% |
| PENDING | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 93% |
| PENDING | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 92% |
| YES | How high will CPI get this year? | kalshi | 2027-04-02 | 99% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (12 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhighinflation-26dec/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhighinflation-26dec |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhighinflation-26dec") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7DJ55H2YG5",
"slug": "kxhighinflation-26dec",
"question": "Will the Consumer Price Index reach a specific peak level this year?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"cpi-forecast",
"inflation-metrics",
"2026",
"macroeconomic-indicator",
"us-economy"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 97742,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}