CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the **high temp in Miami** be 86-87° on Jun 3, 2026? [ resolves 2026-06-04 (1D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 6 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≤ 82 2026-06-04 2.0%
$147 $147
A KXHIGHMIA-26…T82
83 2026-06-04 23.0%
$1.3K $1.3K
A KXHIGHMIA-26…2.5
85 2026-06-04 37.0%
$1.9K $2.0K
A KXHIGHMIA-26…4.5
87 2026-06-04 39.0%
$2.8K $2.8K
A KXHIGHMIA-26…6.5
89 2026-06-04 7.0%
$409 $409
A KXHIGHMIA-26…8.5
≥ 89 2026-06-04 4.0%
$332 $332
A KXHIGHMIA-26…T89
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff NWS Climatological Report Miami link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 6 markets · share this text
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "NWS Climatological Report Miami"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhighmia-26jun03/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhighmia-26jun03.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxhighmia-26jun03")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T91NFWLGK4",
  "slug": "kxhighmia-26jun03",
  "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 86-87° on Jun 3, 2026?",
  "category": "climate",
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "miami-weather",
    "temperature-forecast",
    "climate-2026",
    "daily-high",
    "weather-prediction"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 7084,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →