Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Jun 2, 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-03 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <66° | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $258 | $295 | A | KXHIGHTSFO-2…T66 | ||
| 66-67° | 2026-06-03 | 100.0% | $14K | $15K | A | KXHIGHTSFO-2…6.5 | ||
| 68-69° | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $124 | $128 | A | KXHIGHTSFO-2…8.5 | ||
| 70-71° | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $82 | $88 | A | KXHIGHTSFO-2…0.5 | ||
| 72-73° | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $24 | $33 | A | KXHIGHTSFO-2…2.5 | ||
| >73° | 2026-06-03 | 0.0% | $8 | $32 | A | KXHIGHTSFO-2…T73 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | NWS Climatological Report San Francisco | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 2, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco" ↗ resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the maximum temperature be <66° on Jun 2, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| YES | Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Jun 2, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 100% |
| NO | Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Jun 2, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Jun 2, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Jun 2, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum temperature be >73° on Jun 2, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-03 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (6 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhightsfo-26jun02/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhightsfo-26jun02 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhightsfo-26jun02") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JY4CLSLMC0",
"slug": "kxhightsfo-26jun02",
"question": "Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Jun 2, 2026?",
"category": "climate",
"tags": [
"climate",
"san-francisco-weather",
"temperature-extremes",
"june-2026",
"climate-prediction",
"weather-observable"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15976,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 97,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
"resolution_source_url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}