Who will win the North Carolina 11th congressional district House election? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for NC-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- NC-11 Republican odds slip to 23% under fresh pressure 23% · $12K 24h
- Kalshi prices Republican at just 23%, the market treats NC-11 as leaning strongly Democratic.
- $12K in 24h equals 41% of all-time contract volume, a meaningful acceleration for a lower-dollar race.
- Attention on a 23% contract often precedes a news event testing whether the longshot is truly priced correctly.
- Resolves on NC-11 general election outcome.
- Republicans trade near a long shot in NC-11 at 24% 24% · $12K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Republican win in NC-11 at 24%, market assigns clear underdog status to the GOP here.
- 41% of all-time volume, $12K, hit in one day, a notable concentration of activity for a single House race.
- NC-11 at 24% Republican reflects either a strong Democratic incumbent advantage or a recent structural shift in the district.
- Resolves on 2026 NC-11 House election result.
- Traders pile into Democrat at 68% in NC-11 House race 68% · $12K 24h
- Kalshi contract prices Democratic win in North Carolina's 11th District at 68%, a meaningful lean in a traditionally Republican-leaning mountain district.
- 24h volume of $12K is 31% of all-time contract activity, indicating a sharp one-day focus on this race.
- NC-11 has been reliably Republican; pricing at 68% Democratic with a volume surge points to a significant local development, candidate, scandal, or polling shift, warranting immediate monitoring.
- Resolves on 2026 general election certified result for NC-11.
- Buyers back Democrats in NC-11 as odds hold at 65% 65% · $11K 24h
- 65% price on Kalshi makes NC-11 a clear Democratic lean, pricing out roughly one-in-three Republican scenarios.
- 24h volume of $11.4K is 32% of all-time handle, meaningful but contract still has room to build further.
- NC-11 is a historically Republican-leaning mountain district; 65% Democratic odds represent a notable political shift drawing scrutiny.
- Resolves on certified North Carolina 11th District House race result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhousenc11-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhousenc11-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhousenc11-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0N8GC3M3K5",
"slug": "kxhousenc11-26",
"question": "Who will win the North Carolina 11th congressional district House election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-politics",
"house-elections",
"north-carolina",
"2027-election",
"single-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11506,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}