Will a winner be determined in the FL-14 House race by January 4, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for FL-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- Heavy trading tests the Democrat's edge in FL-14 67% · $36K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democrats at 67% in FL-14, a moderate favorite, but far from settled, leaving genuine two-way risk.
- 24h volume of $36K represents 29% of all-time handle, pointing to a significant single-session re-rating.
- FL-14 is a competitive Florida district; activity at 67% implies the market is absorbing new information without reaching consensus.
- Resolves on the November 2026 FL-14 House general election.
- Democrats lead in FL-14 with odds holding above 50% 67% · $44K 24h
- At 67%, Kalshi prices a Democratic win in Florida's 14th congressional district as the more likely outcome.
- 24h volume of $44K is 37% of all-time handle, a notable single-session surge in a competitive House race.
- FL-14 has emerged as a targeted pickup opportunity; fresh volume may reflect new polling, candidate news, or national party spending signals.
- Contract resolves on the certified November 2026 House election result for FL-14.
- Democrats hold a 63% edge in FL-14 on fresh volume 63% · $33K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democrats at 63% to win Florida's 14th Congressional District, a moderate lean.
- $33K in 24h, 47% of all-time volume, marks a meaningful acceleration in FL-14 trading.
- FL-14 sits in a competitive suburban corridor; fresh attention may follow candidate news or polling.
- Contract resolves on November 2026 general election results.
- Buyers back Democrats at 65% in FL-14 contest 65% · $16K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Democratic win in FL-14 at 65%, a meaningful but not overwhelming favorite read.
- 45% of all-time volume arrived in 24h, a moderate but notable concentration of lifecycle activity.
- FL-14 at 65% Democratic is a competitive signal in a state Republicans have dominated at the federal level.
- Resolves on 2026 midterm Election Night certified results for Florida's 14th Congressional District.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhouserace-fl14-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhouserace-fl14-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhouserace-fl14-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-H89NH9QH14",
"slug": "kxhouserace-fl14-26",
"question": "Will a winner be determined in the FL-14 House race by January 4, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"florida-politics",
"us-house-2026",
"election-2026",
"house-race",
"district-14"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14575,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}