KY-06 House winner? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for KY-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- KY-06 Republican lead draws renewed testing near 75% 69% · $23K 24h
- Republicans at 69% in KY-06, a meaningful lead, but Democrats retain over 30% implied probability.
- $23.2K in 24h represents 47% of all-time volume, showing concentrated new interest.
- Nearly 50% of lifetime volume printing in a day on a sub-75% price signals genuine competitive uncertainty.
- Resolves on 2026 KY-06 House election result.
- Betting picks up on a Republican hold in KY-06 at 69% 69% · $23K 24h
- At 69%, Kalshi sees the Republican candidate as a moderate favorite but not a lock in KY-06.
- $23K in 24h equals 47% of all-time volume, nearly half the contract's entire trading in one session.
- A competitive 69% price with this volume concentration suggests new information is reshaping expectations mid-cycle.
- Contract resolves on KY-06 House election result.
- Republicans' KY-06 House hold backed by heavy trading 72% · $19K 24h
- Kalshi prices Republican at 72%, a meaningful but not overwhelming lead in this House race.
- $19K in 24h represents 73% of all-time volume, the vast majority of lifetime activity landed today.
- That concentration implies the contract is newly relevant, likely triggered by polling or candidate news.
- Resolves on KY-06 general election result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhouserace-ky06-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhouserace-ky06-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhouserace-ky06-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9D5R8WC8R6",
"slug": "kxhouserace-ky06-26",
"question": "KY-06 House winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-elections",
"kentucky-politics",
"2026-election-cycle",
"congressional-race",
"ky-06-district"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7316,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}