SC-01 House winner? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for SC-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- GOP traders pile into SC-01 House race at 72% 72% · $21K 24h
- Kalshi prices Republican at 72%, market leans GOP but leaves meaningful room for a Democratic pickup.
- $21K in 24h is 63% of all-time contract volume, marking a decisive surge in market attention.
- Parallel activity in the Democratic SC-01 contract (Spike 4) confirms traders are actively crossing this race.
- Resolves on SC-01 general election outcome.
- Democratic SC-01 long shot stays under 30% in active trade 28% · $16K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democratic candidate at 28%, the contract is live but the market stays skeptical.
- $16K in 24h covers 45% of all-time volume, moving in tandem with the Republican SC-01 spike.
- The paired surge on both sides of this seat points to a competitive-race reassessment rather than noise.
- Resolves on SC-01 general election outcome.
- Heavy trading tests the GOP's 72% edge in SC-01 72% · $21K 24h
- Kalshi marks Republicans at 72% to win SC-01, a moderate-to-strong favorite read.
- 63% of the contract's all-time volume, $21K, cleared in the last 24 hours.
- Parallel surge in the Democratic SC-01 contract (spike 3) suggests two-sided attention, not one-directional pressure.
- Resolves on 2026 SC-01 House election result.
- Democrats stay a long shot in SC-01 near 28% 28% · $16K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Democratic SC-01 win at 28%, market treats this as the underdog side.
- 45% of all-time volume, $16K, arrived in 24 hours, matching the Republican SC-01 spike timing.
- Coordinated two-sided activity in SC-01 is consistent with fresh district-level polling or an opposition research release.
- Resolves on 2026 SC-01 House election result.
- SC-01 Democratic bet holds at 25% on record volume day 25% · $13K 24h
- At 25%, Kalshi prices a Democratic win in South Carolina's 1st district as a long shot.
- 73% of all-time volume settled in 24 hours, by far the highest lifetime-share ratio in today's batch.
- A 73% single-day concentration suggests this contract opened or gained traction very recently, not gradual accumulation.
- Resolves on 2026 general election result.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhouserace-sc01-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhouserace-sc01-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhouserace-sc01-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-1VRNWSCZT7",
"slug": "kxhouserace-sc01-26",
"question": "SC-01 House winner?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"house-race",
"south-carolina",
"2027-election",
"us-politics",
"electoral-outcome"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10365,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}