Will the winner of Washington's 5th congressional district House seat be determined by 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for WA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- Republicans keep strong odds in WA-05 through fresh volume 85% · $23K 24h
- Kalshi prices the Republican candidate at 85% in WA-05, market treats this as a solid Republican hold.
- 24h volume of $23K is 30% of all-time total, a notable single-day share for a race near consensus.
- Fresh activity at 85% suggests limited challenge to the Republican thesis but confirms ongoing positioning interest.
- Resolves on Washington 5th District House race result.
- Heavy trading backs Republican in WA-05 at 88% 88% · $25K 24h
- Kalshi prices Republican at 88%, a near-lockup that leaves just 12% tail risk for an upset.
- 24h volume of $25K is 48% of all-time, nearly half of all trading concentrated in this single session.
- Concentrated flow at a high-conviction price level suggests new information is confirming, not challenging, the favorite.
- Resolves on November 2026 election night.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhouserace-wa05-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhouserace-wa05-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhouserace-wa05-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9PH16L5M4",
"slug": "kxhouserace-wa05-26",
"question": "Will the winner of Washington's 5th congressional district House seat be determined by 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-2026",
"washington-state",
"congressional-district-5",
"election-outcome",
"partisan-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6025,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}