Will there be a winner determined in the TX-35 House race by January 4, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (153D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Library of Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the House member sworn in for TX-35 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Library of Congress" sources (1) · single authority
Library of Congress committed source
recent wire items
- Buyers back Democratic TX-35 as odds hold above 50% 63% · $14K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democratic candidate at 63%, market gives a clear but not commanding edge in this Texas seat.
- $14K in 24h is 26% of all-time volume, a moderate but notable acceleration for a high-liquidity contract.
- TX-35 drawing fresh attention at 63% suggests a competitive dynamic is keeping traders engaged late in the cycle.
- Resolves on TX-35 general election outcome.
- Betting picks up on Democrats leading TX-35 at 60% 60% · $13K 24h
- Kalshi prices Democrats winning TX-35 at 60%, a modest favorite in what the market treats as a competitive seat.
- 26% of all-time volume, $13K, printed in 24 hours, the market's busiest single session for this contract.
- Democratic lean in TX-35 at 60% is notable given Texas's statewide Republican tilt; fresh volume may reflect demographic or turnout modeling.
- Resolves on 2026 TX-35 House election result.
- TX-35 House race draws heavy trading at a live 40% Republican price 40% · $20K 24h
- Republican priced at 40%, genuinely competitive, market sees this as a contested battleground.
- 24h volume of $20K is 60% of all-time, indicating strong new-money conviction entering the contract.
- TX-35 is a majority-minority district; fresh volume may trail candidate filing news or internal poll leaks.
- Resolves on November 2026 general election for TX-35.
- TX-35 Republican odds draw heavy trading at 40% 40% · $20K 24h
- Kalshi prices a Republican win in TX-35 at 40%, suggesting a competitive but Democratic-leaning district.
- 60% of all-time volume, $19.9K, traded in 24 hours, a sharp concentration of activity.
- TX-35 has been a battleground target; fresh volume at 40% signals the market sees a genuine contest worth pricing.
- Resolves on TX-35 House race result; Republican would need to close a meaningful gap from current odds.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhousetx35-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhousetx35-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhousetx35-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-30RGTM2V02",
"slug": "kxhousetx35-26",
"question": "Will there be a winner determined in the TX-35 House race by January 4, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-race",
"texas-politics",
"2027-election",
"electoral-competition",
"congressional-district"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8953,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Library of Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}