How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina? [ resolves 2027-05-13 (311D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election> | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Democrats win 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.
A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:
The time for legal challenges has expired
Challenges have been resolved
The member has taken their seat
Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>" sources (1)
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhousewinstate-scd/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhousewinstate-scd |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhousewinstate-scd") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7066ZJ80D5",
"slug": "kxhousewinstate-scd",
"question": "How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-elections",
"south-carolina",
"2026-midterms",
"democratic-seats",
"state-elections"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 7959,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 77,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for " ,
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for " ,
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}