Will US housing starts be released for May 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-16 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 1.375 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | $37 | $9.6K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…375 | ||
| > 1.400 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | $748 | $20K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…400 | ||
| > 1.425 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | $76 | $3.4K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…425 | ||
| > 1.450 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | $63 | $1.5K | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…450 | ||
| > 1.475 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | $0 | $246 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…475 | ||
| > 1.500 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | $44 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…500 | ||
| > 1.525 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | $35 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…525 | ||
| > 1.550 | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | $34 | A | KXHOUSINGSTA…550 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If US housing starts for May 2026 is above 1.375M, then the market resolves to Yes.
The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for May 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the May 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the May 2026 Housing Starts value.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- Trading Economics source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.375M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.400M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.425M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.450M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.475M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.500M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.525M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will US housing starts for May 2026 be above 1.550M? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (8 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxhousingstart-26jun16/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxhousingstart-26jun16 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxhousingstart-26jun16") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PS1K3XYR28",
"slug": "kxhousingstart-26jun16",
"question": "Will US housing starts be released for May 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-housing",
"economic-data",
"may-2026",
"construction-starts",
"quantitative-threshold"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 34537,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Trading Economics",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Trading Economics",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}