S&P 500 maximum value, June 30, 2026 [ resolved 2026-07-07 ]
Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7610 by Jun 30, 2026?
kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7630 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $631 | $1.8K | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…630 | ||
| 7640 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $243 | $1.3K | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…640 | ||
| 7650 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $104 | $483 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…650 | ||
| 7660 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $24 | $365 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…660 | ||
| 7670 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $98 | $394 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…670 | ||
| 7680 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $32 | $303 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…680 | ||
| 7690 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $6 | $227 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…690 | ||
| 7700 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $72 | $376 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…700 | ||
| 7710 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $438 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…710 | ||
| 7720 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $9 | $153 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…720 | ||
| 7730 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $167 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…730 | ||
| 7740 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $52 | $183 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…740 | ||
| 7750 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $106 | $213 | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…750 | ||
| 7600 | 2026-07-07 | 99.0% | — | $2.1K | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…600 | ||
| 7610 | 2026-07-07 | 98.0% | — | $49K | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…610 | ||
| 7620 | 2026-07-07 | 98.0% | — | $665K | B | KXINXMAXMM-3…620 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | For example, Google Finance | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jun 1, 2026 and ending on Jun 30, 2026 is above 7600, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "For example, Google Finance" ↗ sources (1)
- For example, Google Finance venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7600 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-07 | 99% |
| YES | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7610 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-07 | 98% |
| YES | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7620 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-07 | 98% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7630 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7640 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7650 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7660 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7670 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7680 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7690 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7700 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7710 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7720 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7730 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7740 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7750 by Jun 30, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (16 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxinxmaxmm-30jun2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxinxmaxmm-30jun2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxinxmaxmm-30jun2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FTQ2LCSXG7",
"slug": "kxinxmaxmm-30jun2026",
"question": "S&P 500 maximum value, June 30, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"sp500",
"price-level",
"monthly-resolution",
"equity-index",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 722703,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": "For example, Google Finance",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "For example, Google Finance",
"url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}