CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the S&P 500 be above 7354.9999 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 60 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
> 7324.9999 2026-07-31 90.0%
$65 $65
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7329.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7334.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7339.9999 2026-07-31 86.0%
$789 $789
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7344.9999 2026-07-31 89.0%
$2.1K $2.1K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7349.9999 2026-07-31 93.0%
$3.9K $3.9K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7354.9999 2026-07-31 92.0%
$10K $10K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7359.9999 2026-07-31 91.0%
$5.5K $5.5K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7364.9999 2026-07-31 89.0%
$6.9K $6.9K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7369.9999 2026-07-31 84.0%
$3.3K $3.3K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7374.9999 2026-07-31 86.0%
$3.5K $3.5K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7379.9999 2026-07-31 84.0%
$5.9K $5.9K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7384.9999 2026-07-31 81.0%
$3.2K $3.2K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7389.9999 2026-07-31 78.0%
$3.1K $3.1K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7394.9999 2026-07-31 75.0%
$3.8K $3.8K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7399.9999 2026-07-31 70.0%
$4.7K $4.7K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7404.9999 2026-07-31 65.0%
$3.6K $3.6K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7409.9999 2026-07-31 66.0%
$2.4K $2.4K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7414.9999 2026-07-31 62.0%
$3.6K $3.6K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7419.9999 2026-07-31 65.0%
$1.9K $2.0K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7424.9999 2026-07-31 20.0%
$640 $655
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7429.9999 2026-07-31 47.0%
$1.9K $1.9K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7434.9999 2026-07-31 50.0%
$2.1K $2.1K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7439.9999 2026-07-31 42.0%
$1.2K $1.2K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7444.9999 2026-07-31 35.0%
$1.5K $1.5K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7449.9999 2026-07-31 31.0%
$635 $635
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7454.9999 2026-07-31 28.0%
$1.6K $1.6K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7459.9999 2026-07-31 23.0%
$1.0K $1.0K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7464.9999 2026-07-31 19.0%
$1.6K $1.6K
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7469.9999 2026-07-31 15.0%
$671 $671
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7474.9999 2026-07-31 14.0%
$525 $525
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7479.9999 2026-07-31 11.0%
$456 $456
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7484.9999 2026-07-31 9.0%
$237 $237
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7489.9999 2026-07-31 8.0%
$219 $219
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7494.9999 2026-07-31 7.0%
$71 $71
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7499.9999 2026-07-31 6.0%
$1 $1
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7504.9999 2026-07-31 1.0%
$1 $1
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7509.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7514.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7519.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7524.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7529.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7534.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7539.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7544.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7549.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7554.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7559.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7564.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7569.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7574.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7579.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7584.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7589.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7594.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7599.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7604.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7609.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7614.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
> 7619.9999 2026-07-31 0.0%
B KXINXU-26JUL…999
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff For example, Google Finance link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 60 markets · share this text
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 24, 2026 is above 7324.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on July 24, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 24, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "For example, Google Finance"
sources (1)
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxinxu-26jul24h1600/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxinxu-26jul24h1600
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxinxu-26jul24h1600")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4L81W5MRV1",
  "slug": "kxinxu-26jul24h1600",
  "question": "Will the S&P 500 be above 7354.9999 on Jul 24, 2026 at 4pm EDT?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp500",
    "equity-index",
    "price-point",
    "2026",
    "us-markets"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 60,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 83164,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 90,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "For example, Google Finance",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "For example, Google Finance",
      "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →