Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2027-01 ]
Who will IPO before 2027?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 31 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shein · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2026-08-24 | 100.0% | — | $27K | C | KXIPO-26-SHEIN | ||
| Jersey Mike's · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $20K | C | KXIPO-26-JERS | ||
| SpaceX · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $312K | C | KXIPO-26-SPACEX | ||
| Cerebras · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 99.0% | — | $55K | C | KXIPO-26-CEREBRAS | ||
| Anthropic · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 75.0% | $294 | $195K | C | KXIPO-26-ANTHROPIC | ||
| Oura · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 75.0% | $71 | $2.5K | C | KXIPO-26-OURA | ||
| Discord · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 38.0% | $74 | $43K | C | KXIPO-26-DISCORD | ||
| OpenAI · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 24.0% | $329 | $88K | C | KXIPO-26-OPENAI | ||
| DeepSeek · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 15.0% | — | $369 | C | KXIPO-26-DEEP | ||
| Kraken · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | — | $18K | C | KXIPO-26-KRAKEN | ||
| Gopuff · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 11.0% | — | $129 | C | KXIPO-26-GOPU | ||
| Applied Intuition · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 9.0% | — | $2.2K | C | KXIPO-26-AIN…ION | ||
| Plaid · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | — | $3.6K | C | KXIPO-26-PLAID | ||
| Celonis · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $16 | $1.1K | C | KXIPO-26-CELONIS | ||
| Deel · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $2.5K | C | KXIPO-26-DEEL | ||
| Mistral AI · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $421 | C | KXIPO-26-MISTRAL | ||
| Ramp · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $1 | $2.1K | C | KXIPO-26-RAMP | ||
| Rippling · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $990 | C | KXIPO-26-RIPPLING | ||
| Glean · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | — | $522 | C | KXIPO-26-GLEAN | ||
| Beast Industries · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $903 | C | KXIPO-26-BEAS | ||
| Vanta · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $3 | $623 | C | KXIPO-26-VANTA | ||
| Ripple Labs · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | $3 | $1.8K | C | KXIPO-26-RIPPLE | ||
| Skims · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $453 | C | KXIPO-26-SKIMS | ||
| Stripe · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 6.0% | — | $4.4K | C | KXIPO-26-STRIPE | ||
| Databricks · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 5.0% | $3 | $11K | C | KXIPO-26-DAT…CKS | ||
| Anduril · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | $0 | $9.9K | C | KXIPO-26-ANDURIL | ||
| Brex · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $667 | C | KXIPO-26-BREX | ||
| Anysphere (Cursor) · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $761 | C | KXIPO-26-ANYSPHERE | ||
| Airwallex · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 3.0% | — | $389 | C | KXIPO-26-AIRWALLEX | ||
| xAI · Who will IPO before 2027? | 2027-01-01 | 1.0% | — | $409 | C | KXIPO-26-XAI | ||
| Bloomberg · Who will IPO in 2026? | 2027-01-01 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXIPO-26-BMBG |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the New York Times | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Jersey Mike's confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the New York Times" sources (9)
the New York Times venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Financial Times venue-listed CNBC venue-listed Reuters venue-listed BBC venue-listed the SEC from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Who will IPO in 2026? | kalshi | by 2027-01-01 | 99% |
| YES | Who will IPO before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-08-24 | 100% |
| YES | Who will IPO before 2027? | kalshi | 2026-06-15 | 99% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Discord IPO odds split across the major prediction desks Polymarket 18% vs Kalshi 25%
- Kalshi prices Discord IPO before 2027 at 25%; Polymarket at 18%, a 7pp gap.
- Kalshi sits higher; Polymarket carries the deeper book with markedly larger cumulative volume.
- Thinner Kalshi liquidity may allow the higher print to persist; Polymarket's larger pool likely reflects broader consensus.
- Resolves YES if Discord completes an IPO before Jan 1, 2027; direct listing or SPAC routes would qualify depending on ruleset.
- Discord IPO pricing builds a small gap on the major desks Polymarket 18% vs Kalshi 24%
- Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 24%, Polymarket at 18%, a 6pp gap
- Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket holds roughly 16x more cumulative volume
- Moderate spread with a much deeper Polymarket book points to Polymarket as the more credible read
- Resolves YES on a completed Discord IPO or public market listing before Jan 1, 2027
- Discord IPO odds build a wide premium on the lower-volume desk Polymarket 19% vs Kalshi 32%
- Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 32%, Polymarket at 19%, a 13pp gap.
- Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket holds over 10x the cumulative traded volume.
- Polymarket's larger book has likely absorbed more informed flow, making its 19% the more liquid reference price.
- Resolves YES on a confirmed Discord IPO filing or listing before January 1, 2027.
- Ramp IPO before 2027 trades far apart despite low overall odds Polymarket 8% vs Kalshi 13%
- Kalshi prices a Ramp IPO before 2027 at 13%, Polymarket at 8%, a 5pp gap.
- Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket carries roughly 36x the cumulative volume.
- At these low absolute levels, a 5pp gap is proportionally large, Polymarket's deeper liquidity again favors its figure as the market consensus.
- Resolves YES on a confirmed Ramp public listing before January 1, 2027.
- Discord IPO odds split sharply across the major prediction desks Polymarket 19% vs Kalshi 31%
- Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 31%, Polymarket at 19%, a 12pp spread.
- Kalshi is higher; Polymarket holds roughly twelve times the cumulative traded volume.
- Polymarket's deep market has repeatedly anchored tech-IPO timelines more accurately; Kalshi's higher read may reflect a less-contested order book.
- Resolves YES only on a completed Discord public listing before January 1, 2027.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxipo-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxipo-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxipo-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-858NYLKF97",
"slug": "kxipo-26",
"question": "Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"ipo-announcements",
"corporate-finance",
"equity-markets",
"2026",
"public-companies"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 31,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 805593,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "the New York Times",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the SEC",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}