CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? [ resolves 2026-08 – 2027-01 ]

Who will IPO before 2027?

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 31 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Shein · Who will IPO before 2027? 2026-08-24 100.0%
$27K
C KXIPO-26-SHEIN
Jersey Mike's · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 99.0%
$20K
C KXIPO-26-JERS
SpaceX · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 99.0%
$312K
C KXIPO-26-SPACEX
Cerebras · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 99.0%
$55K
C KXIPO-26-CEREBRAS
Anthropic · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 75.0%
$294 $195K
C KXIPO-26-ANTHROPIC
Oura · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 75.0%
$71 $2.5K
C KXIPO-26-OURA
Discord · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 38.0%
$74 $43K
C KXIPO-26-DISCORD
OpenAI · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 24.0%
$329 $88K
C KXIPO-26-OPENAI
DeepSeek · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 15.0%
$369
C KXIPO-26-DEEP
Kraken · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 14.0%
$18K
C KXIPO-26-KRAKEN
Gopuff · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 11.0%
$129
C KXIPO-26-GOPU
Applied Intuition · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 9.0%
$2.2K
C KXIPO-26-AIN…ION
Plaid · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 8.0%
$3.6K
C KXIPO-26-PLAID
Celonis · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$16 $1.1K
C KXIPO-26-CELONIS
Deel · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$2.5K
C KXIPO-26-DEEL
Mistral AI · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$421
C KXIPO-26-MISTRAL
Ramp · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$1 $2.1K
C KXIPO-26-RAMP
Rippling · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$990
C KXIPO-26-RIPPLING
Glean · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 7.0%
$522
C KXIPO-26-GLEAN
Beast Industries · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$903
C KXIPO-26-BEAS
Vanta · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$3 $623
C KXIPO-26-VANTA
Ripple Labs · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$3 $1.8K
C KXIPO-26-RIPPLE
Skims · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$453
C KXIPO-26-SKIMS
Stripe · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 6.0%
$4.4K
C KXIPO-26-STRIPE
Databricks · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 5.0%
$3 $11K
C KXIPO-26-DAT…CKS
Anduril · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 4.0%
$0 $9.9K
C KXIPO-26-ANDURIL
Brex · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 3.0%
$667
C KXIPO-26-BREX
Anysphere (Cursor) · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 3.0%
$761
C KXIPO-26-ANYSPHERE
Airwallex · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 3.0%
$389
C KXIPO-26-AIRWALLEX
xAI · Who will IPO before 2027? 2027-01-01 1.0%
$409
C KXIPO-26-XAI
Bloomberg · Who will IPO in 2026? 2027-01-01 0.0%
C KXIPO-26-BMBG
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff the New York Times not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 31 markets · share this text
If Jersey Mike's confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "the New York Times"
sources (9)
the New York Times venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Financial Times venue-listed CNBC venue-listed Reuters venue-listed BBC venue-listed the SEC from rules text
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Who will IPO in 2026? kalshi by 2027-01-01 99%
YES Who will IPO before 2027? kalshi 2026-08-24 100%
YES Who will IPO before 2027? kalshi 2026-06-15 99%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
  • 2026-09-04T12:29:39+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO odds split across the major prediction desks Polymarket 18% vs Kalshi 25%
    • Kalshi prices Discord IPO before 2027 at 25%; Polymarket at 18%, a 7pp gap.
    • Kalshi sits higher; Polymarket carries the deeper book with markedly larger cumulative volume.
    • Thinner Kalshi liquidity may allow the higher print to persist; Polymarket's larger pool likely reflects broader consensus.
    • Resolves YES if Discord completes an IPO before Jan 1, 2027; direct listing or SPAC routes would qualify depending on ruleset.
  • 2026-09-03T12:32:09+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO pricing builds a small gap on the major desks Polymarket 18% vs Kalshi 24%
    • Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 24%, Polymarket at 18%, a 6pp gap
    • Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket holds roughly 16x more cumulative volume
    • Moderate spread with a much deeper Polymarket book points to Polymarket as the more credible read
    • Resolves YES on a completed Discord IPO or public market listing before Jan 1, 2027
  • 2026-09-02T12:30:32+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO odds build a wide premium on the lower-volume desk Polymarket 19% vs Kalshi 32%
    • Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 32%, Polymarket at 19%, a 13pp gap.
    • Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket holds over 10x the cumulative traded volume.
    • Polymarket's larger book has likely absorbed more informed flow, making its 19% the more liquid reference price.
    • Resolves YES on a confirmed Discord IPO filing or listing before January 1, 2027.
  • 2026-09-02T12:30:32+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Ramp IPO before 2027 trades far apart despite low overall odds Polymarket 8% vs Kalshi 13%
    • Kalshi prices a Ramp IPO before 2027 at 13%, Polymarket at 8%, a 5pp gap.
    • Kalshi is the higher venue; Polymarket carries roughly 36x the cumulative volume.
    • At these low absolute levels, a 5pp gap is proportionally large, Polymarket's deeper liquidity again favors its figure as the market consensus.
    • Resolves YES on a confirmed Ramp public listing before January 1, 2027.
  • 2026-09-01T13:01:19+00:00 cross-venue-divergence
    Discord IPO odds split sharply across the major prediction desks Polymarket 19% vs Kalshi 31%
    • Kalshi prices a Discord IPO before 2027 at 31%, Polymarket at 19%, a 12pp spread.
    • Kalshi is higher; Polymarket holds roughly twelve times the cumulative traded volume.
    • Polymarket's deep market has repeatedly anchored tech-IPO timelines more accurately; Kalshi's higher read may reflect a less-contested order book.
    • Resolves YES only on a completed Discord public listing before January 1, 2027.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxipo-26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxipo-26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxipo-26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-858NYLKF97",
  "slug": "kxipo-26",
  "question": "Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "ipo-announcements",
    "corporate-finance",
    "equity-markets",
    "2026",
    "public-companies"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 31,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 805593,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "the New York Times",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "the New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Financial Times",
      "url": "https://www.ft.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNBC",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the SEC",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →