Will Anduril officially announce an IPO? [ resolves 2026-05 – 2027-06 ]
When will Anduril IPO?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-05-08 | 4.0% | — | $70 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…Y01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-06-08 | 1.0% | — | $49 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…N01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | — | $19 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…L01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-08-08 | 10.0% | — | $128 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…G01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-09-08 | 8.0% | — | $53 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…P01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-10-08 | 7.0% | — | $51 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…T01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-11-08 | 13.0% | — | $196 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…V01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2026-12-08 | 1.0% | $0 | $39 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…C01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-01-08 | 4.0% | $2 | $214 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…N01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-02-08 | 16.0% | $76 | $1.7K | C | KXIPOANDURIL…B01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-03-08 | 20.0% | — | $822 | C | KXIPOANDURIL…R01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-04-08 | 23.0% | $9 | $1.2K | C | KXIPOANDURIL…R01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-05-08 | 20.0% | — | $1.4K | C | KXIPOANDURIL…Y01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-06-01 | 1.0% | — | $9 | A | KXIPOANDURIL…R01 | ||
| When will Anduril IPO | 2027-06-08 | 25.0% | $22 | $8.9K | C | KXIPOANDURIL…N01 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the New York Times | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Anduril confirms an IPO before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2026.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the New York Times" sources (9)
- the New York Times venue-listed
- ABC venue-listed
- Bloomberg venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Financial Times venue-listed
- CNBC venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- BBC venue-listed
- SEC from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | When will Anduril IPO? | kalshi | 2027-06-01 | — |
| NO | When will Anduril IPO? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | When will Anduril IPO? | kalshi | 2026-06-08 | 1% |
| NO | When will Anduril IPO? | kalshi | 2026-05-08 | 4% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (4 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxipoanduril/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxipoanduril |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxipoanduril") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-SHLVFDC4G7",
"slug": "kxipoanduril",
"question": "Will Anduril officially announce an IPO?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"anduril-industries",
"ipo-announcement",
"defense-tech",
"us-capital-markets",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14900,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 82,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "the New York Times",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Financial Times",
"url": "https://www.ft.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNBC",
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "SEC",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}