CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30th be released? [ resolves 2026-06-04 (1D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
kalshi 10 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ 195,000 2026-06-04 98.0%
$25 $73
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 200,000 2026-06-04 0.0%
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 205,000 2026-06-04 77.0%
$7
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 210,000 2026-06-04 82.0%
$634 $1.0K
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 215,000 2026-06-04 72.0%
$218 $2.4K
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 220,000 2026-06-04 54.0%
$358 $1.6K
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 225,000 2026-06-04 23.0%
$6 $175
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 230,000 2026-06-04 4.0%
$4
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 235,000 2026-06-04 2.0%
$0 $1
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
≥ 240,000 2026-06-04 6.0%
$2
A KXJOBLESSCLA…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Department of Labor link Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 10 markets · share this text
If there are at least 195000 initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Department of Labor"
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxjoblessclaims-26jun04/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxjoblessclaims-26jun04.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxjoblessclaims-26jun04")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RQ42WGMX9",
  "slug": "kxjoblessclaims-26jun04",
  "question": "Will initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30th be released?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "initial-jobless-claims",
    "us-labor-market",
    "weekly-economic-data",
    "2026",
    "dol-report"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5219,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 100,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Department of Labor",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →