Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-01 (9D) ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 97.0% | $30 | $61K | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-0 | ||
| Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 3.0% | $72 | $6.1K | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-1 | ||
| Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 1.0% | — | $1.4K | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-2 | ||
| Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 1.0% | — | $747 | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-3 | ||
| Will Trump make 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026 | 2026-08-01 | 1.0% | — | $168 | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUL-4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fox News | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News" sources (4) · single authority
- Fox News venue-listed
- New York Times venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- White House source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlagodays-26jul/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlagodays-26jul |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxlagodays-26jul") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-R3M9C1K632",
"slug": "kxlagodays-26jul",
"question": "Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-residences",
"mar-a-lago",
"travel-frequency",
"2026",
"presidential-movements"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 69145,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Fox News",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "White House",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "White House",
"url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}