Will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago at least X times in June 2026? [ resolved 2026-07-01 ]
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 100.0% | $342 | $43K | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-0 | ||
| Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $114 | $3.1K | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-1 | ||
| Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $15 | $1.4K | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-2 | ||
| Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $4 | $196 | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-3 | ||
| Will Trump make 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026 | 2026-07-01 | 0.0% | $10 | $77 | C | KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fox News | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes.
A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News" sources (4) · single authority
- Fox News venue-listed
- New York Times venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- White House source of record venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Trump make 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump make 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump make 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump make 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jun 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (5 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlagodays-26jun/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlagodays-26jun |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxlagodays-26jun") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
"slug": "kxlagodays-26jun",
"question": "Will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago at least X times in June 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump-mar-a-lago",
"2026-june",
"travel-tracking",
"us-politics",
"quantitative-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 47408,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "Fox News",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "White House",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "White House",
"url": "https://whitehouse.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}