Will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago at least X times in June 2026? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by strike

kalshi 5 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
0	2026-06-30	85.0%	$4.0K	$5.0K	B	`KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-0`
1	2026-06-30	15.0%	$181	$425	B	`KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-1`
2	2026-06-30	4.0%	$50	$110	B	`KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-2`
3	2026-06-30	1.0%	$8	$20	B	`KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-3`
4	2026-06-30	1.0%	$7	$9	B	`KXLAGODAYS-26JUN-4`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Fox News	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 5 markets · share this text

If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026 as President, then the market resolves to Yes. A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jun 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jun 2026, that will count as a visit.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News"

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlagodays-26jun/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlagodays-26jun.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxlagodays-26jun")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KWGR3HN7C7",
  "slug": "kxlagodays-26jun",
  "question": "Will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago at least X times in June 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-mar-a-lago",
    "2026-june",
    "travel-tracking",
    "us-politics",
    "quantitative-prediction"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5589,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 57,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Fox News",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →