Will the Los Angeles mayoral primary results show an exact three-way tie for first place? [ resolved 2026-06-27 ]
Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.8% | — | $128 | A | KXLAMAYORPRI…BAS | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.4% | — | $855 | A | KXLAMAYORPRI…RAM | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | — | $105 | A | KXLAMAYORPRI…RAM | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary | 2026-06-16 | 0.1% | — | $17 | A | KXLAMAYORPRI…BAS | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary | 2026-06-27 | 100.0% | $1.2K | $119K | A | KXLAMAYORPRI…PRA | ||
| Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary | 2026-06-27 | 0.0% | — | $76 | A | KXLAMAYORPRI…PRA |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the exact result in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary is Karen Bass (1st), Spencer Pratt (2nd), Nithya Raman (3rd), then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics" ↗ sources (3) · single authority
- Bureau of Labor Statistics source of record venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics source of record venue-listed
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 100% |
| NO | Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
| NO | Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 1% |
| NO | Will the exact finishing order be in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary? | kalshi | 2026-06-16 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (6 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlamayorprimaryexact-26jun02/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlamayorprimaryexact-26jun02 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxlamayorprimaryexact-26jun02") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-X8KKQLJFT4",
"slug": "kxlamayorprimaryexact-26jun02",
"question": "Will the Los Angeles mayoral primary results show an exact three-way tie for first place?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"los-angeles-politics",
"2026-election",
"primary-election",
"exact-prediction",
"mayoral-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 120102,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
"url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}