What will be the highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before December 31, 2027? [ resolves 2027-12-31 (526D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 60% | 2027-12-31 | 87.0% | — | $2.6K | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T60 | ||
| ≥ 65% | 2027-12-31 | 79.0% | — | $293 | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T65 | ||
| ≥ 70% | 2027-12-31 | 96.0% | — | $5.5K | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T70 | ||
| ≥ 75% | 2027-12-31 | 50.0% | — | $760 | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T75 | ||
| ≥ 80% | 2027-12-31 | 47.0% | — | $751 | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T80 | ||
| ≥ 85% | 2027-12-31 | 14.0% | — | $98 | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T85 | ||
| ≥ 90% | 2027-12-31 | 11.0% | — | $77 | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T90 | ||
| ≥ 95% | 2027-12-31 | 6.0% | — | $80 | A | KXLASTEXAM-2…T95 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Humanity's Last Exam | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Humanity's Last Exam" sources (1) · single authority
- Humanity's Last Exam source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlastexam-27dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlastexam-27dec31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxlastexam-27dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YL5QBQ18Q7",
"slug": "kxlastexam-27dec31",
"question": "What will be the highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before December 31, 2027?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai-benchmarks",
"llm-capabilities",
"humanity-last-exam",
"language-models",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 10174,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Humanity's Last Exam",
"resolution_source_url": "https://agi.safe.ai/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Humanity's Last Exam",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Humanity's Last Exam",
"url": "https://agi.safe.ai/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}