CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Lowe's customer transactions increase in Q2? [ resolves 2026-12-17 (147D) ]

kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 9 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
> 220 2026-12-17 91.0%
$3.0K
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 222 2026-12-17 63.0%
$2.4K
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 224 2026-12-17 44.0%
$366
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 226 2026-12-17 28.0%
$350
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 228 2026-12-17 12.0%
$25
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 230 2026-12-17 8.0%
$92
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 232 2026-12-17 6.0%
$60
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 234 2026-12-17 12.0%
$10
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
> 236 2026-12-17 1.0%
$4
C KXLOW-26AUGT…000
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Fiscal.ai not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 9 markets · share this text
If Lowe's Companies Inc. reports Above 220000000 customer transactions in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai"
sources (1) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxlow-26augtxn/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxlow-26augtxn
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxlow-26augtxn")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B028MFLJ39",
  "slug": "kxlow-26augtxn",
  "question": "Will Lowe's customer transactions increase in Q2?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "lowes",
    "customer-transactions",
    "q2-2026",
    "retail-metrics",
    "earnings-season"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 9,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6218,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 72,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Fiscal.ai",
      "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →