Will the Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election cycle? [ resolves 2026-08-25 (50D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.W. Shannon | 2026-08-25 | 93.8% | — | $20K | C | KXLTGOVOKNOM…SHA | ||
| Darrell Weaver | 2026-08-25 | 9.9% | $2 | $157 | C | KXLTGOVOKNOM…WEA | ||
| Justin Humphrey | 2026-08-25 | 5.4% | — | $73 | C | KXLTGOVOKNOM…HUM | ||
| Cindy Byrd | 2026-08-25 | 0.1% | — | $2 | C | KXLTGOVOKNOM…BYR | ||
| Brian Hill | 2026-08-25 | 0.1% | — | $0 | C | KXLTGOVOKNOM…HIL | ||
| Victor Flores | 2026-08-25 | 0.1% | — | $1 | C | KXLTGOVOKNOM…FLO |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Secretary of State of <geography> | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Cindy Byrd wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Oklahoma Lieutenant Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Secretary of State of <geography>" ↗ sources (1)
- Secretary of State of <geography> venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxltgovoknomr-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxltgovoknomr-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxltgovoknomr-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-T837NS1S13",
"slug": "kxltgovoknomr-26",
"question": "Will the Oklahoma Republican Lieutenant Governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election cycle?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"oklahoma-politics",
"republican-nomination",
"lieutenant-governor",
"2026-election",
"state-primary"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 19831,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 61,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Secretary of State of " ,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Secretary of State of " ,
"url": "https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}