Will Brigitte Macron win a defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (544D) ]
Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194… | 2028-01-01 | 64.0% | — | $8.6K | A | KXMACRONOWEN…-28 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | ABC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Delaware Superior Court sides with Brigitte Macron in Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "ABC" sources (23) · single authority
- ABC venue-listed
- The Source Agencies are venue-listed
- MSNBC venue-listed
- court clerk's office for judicial body venue-listed
- Law360 venue-listed
- STAT News venue-listed
- PACER venue-listed
- Bloomberg Law Court Filings venue-listed
- CBS venue-listed
- the Associated Press venue-listed
- The Washington Post venue-listed
- Legal Monitor Worldwide venue-listed
- CNN venue-listed
- The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
- Fox News venue-listed
- Westlaw Court Records venue-listed
- The New York Times venue-listed
- NBC venue-listed
- Politico venue-listed
- in hierarchical order: judicial body official records and electronic filing systems venue-listed
- Bloomberg News venue-listed
- Reuters venue-listed
- Delaware Superior Court source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmacronowenslong-28/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmacronowenslong-28 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmacronowenslong-28") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0JL61X0ZT4",
"slug": "kxmacronowenslong-28",
"question": "Will Brigitte Macron win a defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"french-litigation",
"defamation-law",
"high-profile-legal",
"2028",
"media-figures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8579,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "ABC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Delaware Superior Court",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "court clerk's office for judicial body",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Law360",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "STAT News",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "PACER",
"url": "https://pacer.uscourts.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg Law Court Filings",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Legal Monitor Worldwide",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Westlaw Court Records",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: judicial body official records and electronic filing systems",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Delaware Superior Court",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}