Will there be a Los Angeles mayor winner by the settlement date? [ resolves 2027-06-02 (331D) ]

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 10 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Karen Bass · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	63.0%	$78K	$5.84M	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-KBAS`
Nithya Raman · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	37.0%	$42K	$4.20M	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-NRAM`
Spencer Pratt · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.3%	—	$182K	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-SPRA`
Rick Caruso · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$277	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-RCAR`
Asaad Alnajjar · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$96	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-AALN`
Vincent Wali · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$16	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-VWAL`
Gina Viola · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$46	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-GVIO`
Rae Huang · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$259	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-RHUA`
Austin Beutner · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$24	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-ABEU`
Adam Miller · Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2027-06-02	0.1%	—	$1.1K	A	`KXMAYORLA-26-AMIL`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	relevant county clerk or board of elections	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 10 markets · share this text

If Karen Bass wins the Los Angeles Mayoral Election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "relevant county clerk or board of elections"

sources (7) · stated precedence rule

relevant county clerk or board of elections source of record venue-listed
Attorney General of the United States venue-listed
relevant city/municipal clerk venue-listed
in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer venue-listed
the Federal Election Commission venue-listed
state board of elections or canvassing board venue-listed
The Source Agencies are venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`
NO	Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	kalshi	`2027-06-02`	`0%`

Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (8 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

2026-06-12T11:42:43+00:00 volume-spike
Heavy flows defend Bass as Los Angeles mayor favorite 79% · $1.2M 24h
- 79% on Bass signals strong but not conclusive market confidence heading into the election.
- $1.2M in 24h is 26% of all-time, sustained interest, not a one-off spike.
- Volume acceleration suggests new polling, endorsement, or opposition research in play.
- Resolves on official LA mayoral election result.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmayorla-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmayorla-26`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxmayorla-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-X27NWLJN20",
  "slug": "kxmayorla-26",
  "question": "Will there be a Los Angeles mayor winner by the settlement date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "los-angeles-mayor",
    "us-election-2027",
    "mayoral-race",
    "california-politics",
    "political-leadership"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 10,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 10217491,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 88,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Attorney General of the United States",
      "url": "https://www.justice.gov/ag",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant city/municipal clerk",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Federal Election Commission",
      "url": "https://www.fec.gov",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "state board of elections or canvassing board",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Source Agencies are",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →