MercadoLibre Inc. report billion items sold in 2026 [ resolves 2028-03-31 (617D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 3 | 2028-03-31 | 89.0% | — | $9.0K | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.05 | 2028-03-31 | 89.0% | — | $1.8K | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.1 | 2028-03-31 | 91.0% | — | $758 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.15 | 2028-03-31 | 86.0% | — | $3.7K | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.2 | 2028-03-31 | 74.0% | — | $2.4K | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.25 | 2028-03-31 | 74.0% | — | $762 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.3 | 2028-03-31 | 68.0% | — | $316 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.35 | 2028-03-31 | 58.0% | — | $575 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.4 | 2028-03-31 | 37.0% | — | $86 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.45 | 2028-03-31 | 26.0% | — | $195 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.5 | 2028-03-31 | 18.0% | — | $49 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.55 | 2028-03-31 | 11.0% | — | $53 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.6 | 2028-03-31 | 8.0% | — | $464 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.65 | 2028-03-31 | 3.0% | — | $89 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.7 | 2028-03-31 | 2.0% | — | $8 | C | KXMELIA-28JA…0.0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3000000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
- Fiscal.ai source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmelia-28janitems/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmelia-28janitems |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmelia-28janitems") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-B77SNX3N32",
"slug": "kxmelia-28janitems",
"question": "MercadoLibre Inc. report billion items sold in 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"mercadolibre",
"ecommerce-metrics",
"annual-sales-volume",
"latin-america",
"financial-reporting"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 20237,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}