Will Maine have a Governor-Senate combination in which the Governor and both U.S. Senators are from the same party by 2027? [ resolves 2027-11-03 (468D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Democratic | 2027-11-03 | 68.0% | $0 | $4.7K | C | KXMESENGOVCO…DEM | ||
| Democratic party and Maine Senate winner be Republican | 2027-11-03 | 31.0% | $219 | $1.9K | C | KXMESENGOVCO…REP | ||
| Republican party and Maine Senate winner be Republican | 2027-11-03 | 7.0% | — | $211 | C | KXMESENGOVCO…REP | ||
| Republican party and Maine Senate winner be Democratic | 2027-11-03 | 2.0% | — | $85 | C | KXMESENGOVCO…DEM |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If ALL of the following occur: Maine Governor winner: Democratic party, Maine Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Maine Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Maine Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics" ↗ sources (3)
- Bureau of Labor Statistics venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics venue-listed
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmesengovcombo-26nov/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmesengovcombo-26nov |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmesengovcombo-26nov") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5XF6BB0PR6",
"slug": "kxmesengovcombo-26nov",
"question": "Will Maine have a Governor-Senate combination in which the Governor and both U.S. Senators are from the same party by 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"maine-elections",
"2027-us-elections",
"governor-senate-combo",
"democratic-party",
"state-level-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6929,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 80,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_none"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "no_source_stated",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
"url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}