CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Democratic nominee in Michigan's 7th congressional district be determined by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (103D) ]

kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
William Lawrence 2026-11-03 68.0%
$5.9K $94K
A KXMIPRIMARY-…LAW
Bridget Brink 2026-11-03 19.0%
$349 $32K
A KXMIPRIMARY-…BRI
Matt Maasdam 2026-11-03 12.0%
$84 $4.6K
A KXMIPRIMARY-…MAA
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
kalshi Exchange Staff Republican Party not provided Kalshi Staff Other
verbatim rules
kalshi 3 markets · share this text
If Bridget Brink wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MI-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party"
sources (2) · single authority
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmiprimary-07d26/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmiprimary-07d26
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("kxmiprimary-07d26")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7DLGJNSN67",
  "slug": "kxmiprimary-07d26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee in Michigan's 7th congressional district be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "michigan-election-2027",
    "democratic-nominee",
    "us-house-district-07",
    "primary-election",
    "candidate-selection"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 129815,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 86,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Republican Party",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "Republican Party",
      "url": "https://gop.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Democratic Party",
      "url": "https://democrats.org/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →