How many states will adopt data center moratoriums by the end of 2026? [ resolves 2027-04-01 (240D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 4 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level… | 2027-04-01 | 58.0% | $3 | $4.0K | C | KXMORATORIUM…AL2 | ||
| Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level… | 2027-04-01 | 38.0% | $39 | $4.2K | C | KXMORATORIUM…AL3 | ||
| Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level… | 2027-04-01 | 18.0% | $18 | $296 | C | KXMORATORIUM…AL4 | ||
| Will the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level… | 2027-04-01 | 11.0% | $10 | $161 | C | KXMORATORIUM…AL5 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the Statistical Review of World Energy | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly targets data centers and prohibits or suspends a material governmental approval, permitting, interconnection, construction, expansion, or operation pathway for new or expanded data centers.
The measure may apply only to a defined class of data centers, including facilities above a specified power, water-use, computing-capacity, or size threshold, and may grandfather existing facilities or applications. It need not use the word “moratorium,” and a permanent prohibition also qualifies.
A qualifying state remains counted if the measure subsequently expires, is repealed, rescinded, superseded, or enjoined, provided it became legally operative. Local measures, project-specific holds, pending legislation, studies, reporting requirements, tax-incentive changes, and regulatory requirements that do not suspend development do not qualify.
Count as of July 21, 2026: 1 — New York. New York Executive Order 62, issued July 14, directs the Department of Environmental Conservation to hold certain incomplete discretionary-permit applications for the construction or expansion of data centers in abeyance. The order covers data centers consuming or capable of consuming at least 50 megawatts, and official state and NCSL materials identify it as the nation’s first statewide data-center moratorium.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the Statistical Review of World Energy" sources (1)
- the Statistical Review of World Energy venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmoratoriumcount-26dec31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmoratoriumcount-26dec31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmoratoriumcount-26dec31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JHXJWYG1M5",
"slug": "kxmoratoriumcount-26dec31",
"question": "How many states will adopt data center moratoriums by the end of 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"data-center-policy",
"state-regulation",
"environmental-governance",
"us-politics",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 4,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8587,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 65,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}