Will Vail Resorts report an increase in skier visits during Q3? [ resolves 2026-07-04 (31D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 6,600,000 | 2026-07-04 | 94.0% | $2 | $1.3K | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 6,900,000 | 2026-07-04 | 96.0% | $279 | $6.4K | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 7,000,000 | 2026-07-04 | 93.0% | — | $600 | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…000 | ||
| ≥ 7,100,000 | 2026-07-04 | 71.0% | $457 | $2.8K | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…000 | ||
| ≥ 7,200,000 | 2026-07-04 | 18.0% | $80 | $1.4K | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 7,300,000 | 2026-07-04 | 8.0% | — | $104 | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…000 | ||
| ≥ 7,400,000 | 2026-07-04 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…000 | ||
| ≥ 7,500,000 | 2026-07-04 | 1.0% | $0 | $13 | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 7,800,000 | 2026-07-04 | 13.0% | $41 | $63 | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 8,100,000 | 2026-07-04 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 8,400,000 | 2026-07-04 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 | ||
| ≥ 8,700,000 | 2026-07-04 | 1.0% | — | $3 | B | KXMTN-26JUNS…0.0 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmtn-26junskier/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmtn-26junskier.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmtn-26junskier") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0QVNPXZPD0",
"slug": "kxmtn-26junskier",
"question": "Will Vail Resorts report an increase in skier visits during Q3?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"vail-resorts",
"skier-visits",
"q3-2026",
"earnings-metric",
"travel-recreation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12690,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 78,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}