Will Elon Musk's net worth exceed $250 billion on July 31 according to Bloomberg? [ resolves 2026-08-08 (16D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $700 | 2026-08-08 | 56.0% | $2.0K | $7.2K | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…700 | ||
| ≥ $750 | 2026-08-08 | 48.0% | $1.5K | $6.3K | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…750 | ||
| ≥ $800 | 2026-08-08 | 17.0% | $363 | $1.8K | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…800 | ||
| ≥ $850 | 2026-08-08 | 6.0% | $33 | $633 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…850 | ||
| ≥ $900 | 2026-08-08 | 3.0% | $26 | $223 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…900 | ||
| ≥ $950 | 2026-08-08 | 4.0% | — | $216 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…950 | ||
| ≥ $1,000 | 2026-08-08 | 4.0% | $73 | $435 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…000 | ||
| ≥ $1,050 | 2026-08-08 | 2.0% | $9 | $108 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…050 | ||
| ≥ $1,100 | 2026-08-08 | 3.0% | — | $73 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…100 | ||
| ≥ $1,150 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | $32 | $79 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…150 | ||
| ≥ $1,200 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | $4 | $57 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…200 | ||
| ≥ $1,250 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | $45 | $109 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…250 | ||
| ≥ $1,300 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | — | $99 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…300 | ||
| ≥ $1,350 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | — | $21 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…350 | ||
| ≥ $1,400 | 2026-08-08 | 7.0% | — | $155 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…400 | ||
| ≥ $1,500 | 2026-08-08 | 5.0% | — | $24 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…500 | ||
| ≥ $1,600 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | — | $31 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…600 | ||
| ≥ $1,700 | 2026-08-08 | 1.0% | — | $17 | C | KXMUSKNW-26J…700 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Elon Musk's net worth is above $700 billion in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation" ↗ sources (3)
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation venue-listed
- Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index venue-listed
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmusknw-26jul31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxmusknw-26jul31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxmusknw-26jul31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-126LCX1XZ5",
"slug": "kxmusknw-26jul31",
"question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth exceed $250 billion on July 31 according to Bloomberg?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"elon-musk",
"net-worth",
"bloomberg",
"2026",
"wealth-tracking"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17534,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
"url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}