Nasdaq-100 index closing price, December 31, 2026 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (186D) ]
kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 22000.01 | 2027-01-08 | 16.0% | — | $1.4K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 22200.01 | 2027-01-08 | 16.0% | — | $199 | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 22400.01 | 2027-01-08 | 19.0% | — | $220 | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 22600.01 | 2027-01-08 | 23.0% | — | $86 | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 22800.01 | 2027-01-08 | 33.0% | — | $1.5K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 23000.01 | 2027-01-08 | 96.3% | — | $16K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 23200.01 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $9.4K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 | ||
| < 23400.01 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $9.1K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….01 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | For example, Google Finance | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 23400.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "For example, Google Finance" ↗ sources (1)
- For example, Google Finance venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 23400.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 23200.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 23000.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 96% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-HD4HXWSDD9",
"slug": "kxnasdaq100miny-26dec31h1600",
"question": "Nasdaq-100 index closing price, December 31, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"nasdaq-100",
"price-minimum",
"2026",
"equity-index",
"market-level"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 37501,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": "For example, Google Finance",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "For example, Google Finance",
"url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}