Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings passenger cruise days, July 30, 2026 [ resolved 2026-07-30 ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 810 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $874 | $4.7K | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 825 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $313 | $1.7K | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 840 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $350 | $3.1K | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 855 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $133 | $3.4K | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 870 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $463 | $2.0K | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 885 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $7 | $135 | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 900 | 2026-07-30 | 100.0% | $5 | $158 | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 | ||
| > 915 | 2026-07-30 | 0.0% | $10 | $32 | C | KXNCLH-26JUL…000 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports above 810000 passengers carried in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report above 810 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report above 825 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 840 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 855 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 870 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 885 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 900 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. report Above 915 thousand passengers carried in Q2 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-30 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (8 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnclh-26julpax/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnclh-26julpax |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnclh-26julpax") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-81T05LPZ19",
"slug": "kxnclh-26julpax",
"question": "Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings passenger cruise days, July 30, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"cruise-industry",
"passenger-metrics",
"ncl-operations",
"q2-2026",
"earnings-forecast"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15281,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}