Will Norwegian Cruise Line carry passengers in 2026? [ resolves 2028-03-31 (605D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 3.1 | 2028-03-31 | 99.0% | — | $3.1K | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.15 | 2028-03-31 | 99.0% | — | $8.8K | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.2 | 2028-03-31 | 90.0% | — | $9.7K | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.25 | 2028-03-31 | 99.0% | $12 | $17K | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.3 | 2028-03-31 | 93.0% | — | $14K | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.35 | 2028-03-31 | 69.0% | — | $577 | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 | ||
| > 3.4 | 2028-03-31 | 60.0% | $243 | $2.7K | C | KXNCLHA-28JA…0.0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Fiscal.ai | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reports Above 3100000.0 passengers carried in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fiscal.ai" sources (1) · single authority
Fiscal.ai committed source
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnclha-28janpax/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnclha-28janpax |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnclha-28janpax") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-W083H0HNY7",
"slug": "kxnclha-28janpax",
"question": "Will Norwegian Cruise Line carry passengers in 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"cruise-industry",
"passenger-capacity",
"norwegian-cruise-line",
"travel-tourism",
"quarterly-reporting"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 56216,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Fiscal.ai",
"url": "https://fiscal.ai",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}