Will the Democratic nominee for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District be determined by January 1, 2027? [ resolves 2026-09 – 2027-01 ]
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-1?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If Maura Sullivan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NH-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-1? | kalshi | 2026-09-09 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Traders back Sullivan as NH-1 Dem nominee 83% · $22K 24h
- Kalshi prices Sullivan at 83%, strong favorite to claim the NH-1 Democratic nomination.
- 24h volume of $22K equals 33% of all-time handle, a decisive single-session commitment.
- Concentrated fresh activity suggests a near-term filing deadline or primary date is approaching.
- Contract resolves on Democratic nominee certification for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnh1d-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnh1d-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnh1d-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6N9YKDY7Z9",
"slug": "kxnh1d-26",
"question": "Will the Democratic nominee for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District be determined by January 1, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-house-2026",
"new-hampshire",
"democratic-primary",
"nominee-selection",
"electoral-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 8871,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Republican Party",
"url": "https://gop.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Democratic Party",
"url": "https://democrats.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}