Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02? [ resolved 2026-06-10 ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Flippo | 2026-06-10 | 100.0% | $12 | $14K | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…FLI | ||
| James Settelmeyer | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | $16 | $1.8K | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…SET | ||
| Jesse Watts | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $0 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…WAT | ||
| William Conrad | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…CON | ||
| Fred Simon Jr. | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $16 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…SIM | ||
| Andrea Lowe | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $2 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…LOW | ||
| Bruce Grego | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $0 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…GRE | ||
| Jennifer Billat | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…BIL | ||
| Thomas Doyle | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…DOY | ||
| George Forbush | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…FOR | ||
| Jerry Olsen | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…OLS | ||
| Rick Shepherd | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…SHE | ||
| Douglas Miller | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $2 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…MIL | ||
| Michael Smith | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $2 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…SMI | ||
| Sherman Tylawsky | 2026-06-10 | 0.0% | — | $1 | A | KXNVPRIMARY-…TYL |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Republican Party | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If James Settelmeyer wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NV-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Republican Party" resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| YES | Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 100% |
| NO | Will Jesse Watts be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will William Conrad be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Fred Simon Jr. be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Andrea Lowe be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bruce Grego be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jennifer Billat be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Thomas Doyle be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will George Forbush be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jerry Olsen be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Rick Shepherd be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Douglas Miller be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Michael Smith be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
| NO | Will Sherman Tylawsky be the Republican nominee for NV-02? | kalshi | 2026-06-10 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (15 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnvprimary-02r26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnvprimary-02r26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnvprimary-02r26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-KQV1P38Q22",
"slug": "kxnvprimary-02r26",
"question": "Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"nevada-politics",
"republican-primary",
"2027-election",
"house-races",
"nv-02"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 15698,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 86,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Republican Party",
"resolution_source_url": "https://gop.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}