Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-08 (157D) ]
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 7.1% | $27 | $7.0K | A | KXNYCCORPORA…N01 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | geography’s official government websites | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Extending, renewing, or otherwise preserving an existing temporary rate, including preventing a scheduled reduction, does not constitute a rate increase. Laws passed by New York State are encompassed within the Payout Criterion if they apply to or govern New York City.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "geography’s official government websites" sources (24) · single authority
geography’s official government websites venue-listed ABC venue-listed The Source Agencies are venue-listed the Federal Register venue-listed The Information venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed The United States Congress committed source in hierarchical order: geography’s legislative bodies venue-listed The White House venue-listed CBS venue-listed the Associated Press venue-listed The Washington Post venue-listed Axios venue-listed CNN venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed Fox News venue-listed The New York Times venue-listed NBC venue-listed Semafor venue-listed Politico venue-listed relevant governmental agency in geography venue-listed Bloomberg News venue-listed Reuters venue-listed major newspapers in geography venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-3TH1NQMKC3",
"slug": "kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01",
"question": "Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"mamdani",
"corporate-taxes",
"tax-policy",
"2027",
"uganda-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6985,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "geography’s official government websites",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "The United States Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "geography’s official government websites",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Source Agencies are",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Federal Register",
"url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The United States Congress",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "in hierarchical order: geography’s legislative bodies",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The White House",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://semafor.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "relevant governmental agency in geography",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "major newspapers in geography",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}