Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-08 (186D) ]

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

kalshi: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 1 market

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027	2027-01-08	8.2%		$170	$6.2K		A	`KXNYCCORPORA…N01`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	geography’s official government websites	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 1 market · share this text

If a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods. For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods. For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes. For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness. Legislative passage without completed executive action, passage by only some required bodies, provisional passage, non-binding resolutions, and draft orders do not constitute enactment. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "geography’s official government websites"

sources (24) · stated precedence rule

geography’s official government websites venue-listed
ABC venue-listed
The Source Agencies are venue-listed
the Federal Register venue-listed
The Information venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
The United States Congress venue-listed
in hierarchical order: geography’s legislative bodies venue-listed
The White House venue-listed
CBS venue-listed
the Associated Press venue-listed
The Washington Post venue-listed
Axios venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
Semafor venue-listed
Politico venue-listed
relevant governmental agency in geography venue-listed
Bloomberg News venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
major newspapers in geography venue-listed

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3TH1NQMKC3",
  "slug": "kxnyccorporatetax-27jan01",
  "question": "Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "mamdani",
    "corporate-taxes",
    "tax-policy",
    "2027",
    "uganda-politics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 6168,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "geography’s official government websites",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "geography’s official government websites",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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    },
    {
      "name": "The Source Agencies are",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Federal Register",
      "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The United States Congress",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "in hierarchical order: geography’s legislative bodies",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The White House",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "relevant governmental agency in geography",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "major newspapers in geography",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →