Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (179D) ]
Will NYC implement a rent freeze for leases starting October 2026?
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC implement a rent freeze for leases starting October 2026 | 2027-01-01 | 74.0% | $938 | $86K | A | KXNYCRENTFREEZE-25 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | NYC | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the NYC Rent Guidelines Board has voted to set a 0% rent increase or any level of decrease for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both, for rent-stabilized apartments with leases commencing between October 1 of 2026 and September 30 of the following year, then the market resolves to Yes.
A rent freeze means the Board has voted for exactly 0% increase or any negative percentage (rent decrease) for either one-year leases, two-year leases, or both. The vote must be the final, official vote of the Board for the annual cycle, not a preliminary vote or proposed range. Indexation to inflation is considered a rent increase and would not qualify as a freeze. If the Board votes 0% for either one-year or two-year leases (or both), the market resolves to Yes. If the Board votes only positive percentages for both lease types, the market resolves to No. The Board typically meets and votes in June for leases beginning October 1. If the Board is unable to meet or vote due to lack of quorum, or if the rent stabilization system is abolished or suspended, the market resolves to No.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "NYC" sources (2) · single authority
- NYC venue-listed
- the NYC Rent Guidelines Board source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnycrentfreeze-25/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnycrentfreeze-25 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnycrentfreeze-25") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-83HZ6WHMC4",
"slug": "kxnycrentfreeze-25",
"question": "Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"rent-freeze",
"housing-policy",
"mamdani",
"2026-action",
"economics",
"nyc-housing"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 85990,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "NYC",
"resolution_source_url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "the NYC Rent Guidelines Board",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "NYC",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the NYC Rent Guidelines Board",
"url": "https://kalshi.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}