How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? [ resolves 2027-01-07 (168D) ]
kalshi: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 90.0% | — | $5 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-370 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 99.0% | — | $1 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-380 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 87.0% | — | $166 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-390 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 90.0% | — | $245 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-400 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 86.0% | — | $44 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-410 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 84.0% | — | $282 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-420 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 79.0% | — | $5.1K | C | KXOILRIGS-26-430 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXOILRIGS-26-440 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXOILRIGS-26-450 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXOILRIGS-26-500 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 0.0% | — | — | C | KXOILRIGS-26-550 | ||
| How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year | 2027-01-07 | 9.0% | — | $0 | C | KXOILRIGS-26-600 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | the American Oil & Gas reporter | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 370, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "the American Oil & Gas reporter" ↗ sources (1) · single authority
- the American Oil & Gas reporter source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxoilrigs-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxoilrigs-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxoilrigs-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-7711L38BN5",
"slug": "kxoilrigs-26",
"question": "How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"oil-rigs",
"us-energy",
"economic-indicator",
"commodities",
"end-of-year-2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5836,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "the American Oil & Gas reporter",
"url": "https://www.aogr.com/web-exclusives/us-rig-count/2025",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}