Will the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal be above 950 in May 2026? [ resolves 2026-09-08 (97D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 900 | 2026-09-08 | 99.0% | $50 | $323 | A | KXPANAMATRAF…900 | ||
| ≥ 950 | 2026-09-08 | 99.0% | — | $4.9K | A | KXPANAMATRAF…950 | ||
| ≥ 1,000 | 2026-09-08 | 83.0% | — | $3.3K | A | KXPANAMATRAF…000 | ||
| ≥ 1,050 | 2026-09-08 | 86.0% | — | $1.6K | A | KXPANAMATRAF…050 | ||
| ≥ 1,100 | 2026-09-08 | 95.0% | $1 | $2.1K | A | KXPANAMATRAF…100 | ||
| ≥ 1,150 | 2026-09-08 | 71.0% | — | $1.2K | A | KXPANAMATRAF…150 | ||
| ≥ 1,200 | 2026-09-08 | 16.0% | — | $57 | A | KXPANAMATRAF…200 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Panama Canal | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Panama Canal" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxpanamatraffic-26jun01/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxpanamatraffic-26jun01.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxpanamatraffic-26jun01") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-PNNRPHYKX4",
"slug": "kxpanamatraffic-26jun01",
"question": "Will the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal be above 950 in May 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"panama-canal",
"shipping-logistics",
"monthly-metrics",
"2026",
"infrastructure-throughput"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 13430,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 100,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Panama Canal",
"resolution_source_url": "https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}