How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided? [ resolved 2026-07-27 ]
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a special state convention before Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 6 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Platner remains the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine | 2026-07-10 | 0.0% | — | $5.2K | C | KXPLATNERREP…EMA | ||
| The Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a special state convention | 2026-07-27 | 100.0% | — | $76K | C | KXPLATNERREP…ONV | ||
| The Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a statewide caucus process | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | $21 | $1.5K | C | KXPLATNERREP…AUC | ||
| The Maine Democratic State Committee directly selects Graham Platner's replacement | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $465 | C | KXPLATNERREP…OMM | ||
| The Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through another process | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $309 | C | KXPLATNERREP…THE | ||
| The Maine Democratic Party does not select a replacement for Graham Platner | 2026-07-27 | 0.0% | — | $154 | C | KXPLATNERREP…ORE |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | The Washington Post | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a special state convention after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. If, under some scenario, multiple strikes should resolve to Yes, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied markets.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post" sources (22)
The Washington Post venue-listed Fox News venue-listed The Wall Street Journal venue-listed The Guardian venue-listed ABC venue-listed Bloomberg News venue-listed CBS venue-listed South China Morning Post venue-listed NBC venue-listed the Associated Press venue-listed The Verge venue-listed BBC venue-listed Axios venue-listed CNN venue-listed ABC News Australia venue-listed The Information venue-listed Semafor venue-listed MSNBC venue-listed CBC venue-listed Reuters venue-listed Politico venue-listed The New York Times venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a special state convention before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 100% |
| NO | Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a statewide caucus process before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Maine Democratic State Committee directly selects Graham Platner's replacement before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through another process before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Maine Democratic Party does not select a replacement for Graham Platner before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-27 | 0% |
| NO | Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner remains the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine before Aug 1, 2026? | kalshi | 2026-07-10 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (6 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxplatnerreplace-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxplatnerreplace-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxplatnerreplace-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNBFMBNST1",
"slug": "kxplatnerreplace-26",
"question": "How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"maine-politics",
"2026-election",
"democratic-nomination",
"senate-race",
"party-selection"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 6,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 83918,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 72,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "The Washington Post",
"url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Fox News",
"url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Wall Street Journal",
"url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Guardian",
"url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC",
"url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg News",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBS",
"url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "South China Morning Post",
"url": "https://www.scmp.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "NBC",
"url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "the Associated Press",
"url": "https://apnews.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Verge",
"url": "https://www.theverge.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "BBC",
"url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Axios",
"url": "https://www.axios.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CNN",
"url": "https://www.cnn.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "ABC News Australia",
"url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The Information",
"url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Semafor",
"url": "https://semafor.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "MSNBC",
"url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CBC",
"url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reuters",
"url": "https://www.reuters.com",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Politico",
"url": "https://www.politico.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "The New York Times",
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}