How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided? [ resolves 2026-08-08 (16D) ]

kalshi: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot

kalshi 6 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
The Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a special state convention	2026-08-08	99.0%	—	$76K	C	`KXPLATNERREP…ONV`
The Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a statewide caucus process	2026-08-08	3.0%	$21	$1.5K	C	`KXPLATNERREP…AUC`
The Maine Democratic State Committee directly selects Graham Platner's replacement	2026-08-08	1.0%	—	$465	C	`KXPLATNERREP…OMM`
The Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through another process	2026-08-08	1.0%	—	$309	C	`KXPLATNERREP…THE`
Graham Platner remains the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine	2026-08-08	1.0%	—	$5.2K	C	`KXPLATNERREP…EMA`
The Maine Democratic Party does not select a replacement for Graham Platner	2026-08-08	1.0%	—	$154	C	`KXPLATNERREP…ORE`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	The Washington Post	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 6 markets · share this text

If the Maine Democratic Party selects Graham Platner's replacement through a special state convention after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. If, under some scenario, multiple strikes should resolve to Yes, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied markets.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "The Washington Post"

sources (22)

The Washington Post venue-listed
Fox News venue-listed
The Wall Street Journal venue-listed
The Guardian venue-listed
ABC venue-listed
Bloomberg News venue-listed
CBS venue-listed
South China Morning Post venue-listed
NBC venue-listed
the Associated Press venue-listed
The Verge venue-listed
BBC venue-listed
Axios venue-listed
CNN venue-listed
ABC News Australia venue-listed
The Information venue-listed
Semafor venue-listed
MSNBC venue-listed
CBC venue-listed
Reuters venue-listed
Politico venue-listed
The New York Times venue-listed

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
NO	Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner remains the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine before Aug 1, 2026?	kalshi	`2026-07-10`	`1%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxplatnerreplace-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxplatnerreplace-26`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxplatnerreplace-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZNBFMBNST1",
  "slug": "kxplatnerreplace-26",
  "question": "How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "maine-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "democratic-nomination",
    "senate-race",
    "party-selection"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 83918,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 72,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "The Washington Post",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "The Washington Post",
      "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
      "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Guardian",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC",
      "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bloomberg News",
      "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBS",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "South China Morning Post",
      "url": "https://www.scmp.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "NBC",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "the Associated Press",
      "url": "https://apnews.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Verge",
      "url": "https://www.theverge.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "BBC",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Axios",
      "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CNN",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "ABC News Australia",
      "url": "http://www.abc.net.au/news/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The Information",
      "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Semafor",
      "url": "https://semafor.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "MSNBC",
      "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "CBC",
      "url": "https://www.cbc.ca/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Reuters",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Politico",
      "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "The New York Times",
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →